by steam_cannon » Sun 02 Mar 2008, 18:24:08
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smileyhouston', 'S')peaking of food prices, I'm sure that most of you are aware of
ethanol being responsible for that. As the stock feed price goes up
for corn, so does dairy, beef and products within that domain.
I think many people are very aware of the impact ethanol production
is having on the market. But ethanol it's hardly to blame for the
effect it's having on food prices, overpopulation is. The trend
towards shortages due to running down grain stocks has been
building for some time. We have been drawing down grain stocks
like a credit card because we are running into limits to our current
methods of food production.

"
World Grain Stocks Fall to 57 Days of Consumption...
...marking the sixth time in the last seven years that production has
failed to satisfy demand. " (2006)
http://www.energybulletin.net/17261.html
Ethanol price competition is actually probably a good thing because
it is raising food prices "before" more sever world food shortages
sink in. This means for the right price, the biofuels market can be
put back into the food market and prices will help encourage people
to either grow more or cut back. So I think ethanol will have a
softening effect on the already present trend of production
shortfalls in grains.
It's convenient to blame ethanol, but ethanol can't fit in without
raising prices in the rest of the market because there is no more
room to grow crops. So the real problems are, limits to farmable
land, depleted farm land, energy prices, fertilizer shortages,
droughts, persistent droughts and most important too many people
chowing down world grain stocks.
But hey, that's just my take on things...
A few links if you're into this stuff:
Food Depletion Statistics
http://www.peakoil.com/fortopic34381.html
No bread on the shelves
http://www.peakoil.com/fortopic35034.html
The end of cheap food
http://www.peakoil.com/fortopic34634.html