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All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobots!

Discussions of conventional and alternative energy production technologies.

Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby Aaron » Mon 26 Mar 2007, 19:51:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'T')his particular video system has no functional rewind or fast foward and is difficult to navigate. Is there an standalone url to watch it at?

His Overshoot finally his point?


Not really... he talks about population pressures.

It's worth watching IMO.
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 26 Mar 2007, 20:42:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JasonHam', 'I') knew I was going to get this reaction. Anything that isnt doom and gloom is stupid and misinformed to you quacks.


Try a different title next time. You might get a better reaction.

"All problems solved! No need to worry"
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby Omnitir » Mon 26 Mar 2007, 20:58:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Omnitir', 'A')nd it’s nice to see that some people here get it.


Translation: Unless you share the Omnigod's beliefs, you don't get it.

Nope. My comment relates to my pleasure in seeing that not all peaknics are Luddite technophobes with knee-jerk reactions that dismiss possible solutions because they involve future technologies.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Anything that doesn't genuinely address the critical problems and concerns that produce gloom and doom is stupid and misinformed.

Finding a way of living our lives that doesn’t require fossil fuels doesn’t genuinely address the critical problems we face?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')personal sacrifice and radical behavioral change that must happen or else.

But that will only happen on the necessary scale once TSHTF. In the mean time, the energy problem might be solvable through appropriate technology, development and research. We must try with some Manhattan like project to find the fix. Striving to save the world is hardly a gimmick.


Great video BTW Aaron, I totally agree with Smalley on many fronts (though I do tend to agree more with Kurzwils arguments in the Drexler-Smalley debate).

I loved this beautiful sentence from the vid:
“So if you’re counting on the four horseman of the apocalypse to solve this problem, there isn’t any precedent for that!”
So true! Some people almost seem to think that there will be an overnight dieoff and then everything will be just fine in our sustainable medieval lifestyles.
"Mother Nature is a psychopathic bitch, and she is out to get you. You have to adapt, change or die." - Tihamer Toth-Fejel, nanotech researcher/engineer.
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 26 Mar 2007, 21:14:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Omnitir', ' ')My comment relates to my pleasure in seeing that not all peaknics are Luddite technophobes with knee-jerk reactions that dismiss possible solutions because they involve future technologies.


Strawman, and you know it.

edit: See post below for the real skinny.
Last edited by MonteQuest on Mon 26 Mar 2007, 22:11:54, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby kochevnik » Mon 26 Mar 2007, 21:31:11

:!:


Facts Mr. Ham. Science Mr. Ham. Logic Mr. Ham. There's no free lunch Mr. Ham.

Biggest problem with nano-tech is that now you have a time limit - probably got less than a decade to develop working prototypes. Extremely, extremely low odds on that.

Second problem with nanotech is the law of conservation of energy (and matter) and entropy. If molecules were so easily slammed together to create replacement oil, nature wouldn't have needed millenia to pull it off.

Third problem with nano-tech is the law of unintended consequences of which grey goo is just one possibility.

Find me a credible scientist who can show us that the Star Trek replicator is just around the corner and we'll have something to discuss - otherwise all you are is just another religious fanatic whose God just comes in a really small box.
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby Aaron » Mon 26 Mar 2007, 21:56:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kochevnik', ':')!:


Facts Mr. Ham. Science Mr. Ham. Logic Mr. Ham. There's no free lunch Mr. Ham.

Biggest problem with nano-tech is that now you have a time limit - probably got less than a decade to develop working prototypes. Extremely, extremely low odds on that.

Second problem with nanotech is the law of conservation of energy (and matter) and entropy. If molecules were so easily slammed together to create replacement oil, nature wouldn't have needed millenia to pull it off.

Third problem with nano-tech is the law of unintended consequences of which grey goo is just one possibility.

Find me a credible scientist who can show us that the Star Trek replicator is just around the corner and we'll have something to discuss - otherwise all you are is just another religious fanatic whose God just comes in a really small box.


Smalley about says the same thing in the video.

I asked him myself point-blank, and he said there were probably several primary scientific breakthroughs necessary before nanotech will realize it's potential.

He plainly says that it's possible oil is simply the best we will ever do in terms of energy sources, but adds that we should try anyway to develop realistic alternatives.

He believed that with micron-level control in manufacturing we could realize solar energy collection in significant quantities, but also cautioned that progress is limited by existing facilities & staff to perform this research.

I agree.

We know it works... plants do it every day.

We just don't yet understand how.

oh yeah... & we are all doomed.

:)
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby chris-h » Tue 27 Mar 2007, 06:25:43

The tech that is needed to save the world is known for a very long time.
Electric rail and electric street cars.
What is not there is the political will.

Maybe they develop nanotech in a decade.
It will be used as a weapon NOT to save us.
Peak oil is a social problem not a tech problem.
As a social problem peak oil cannot be solved by technology.
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby Heineken » Tue 27 Mar 2007, 22:25:43

Well, Chris-h is exactly right. More technology is not the answer. We need less of everything. Less technology. Fewer cars. Fewer houses. Fewer people. Fewer bombs. Less consumption. And so on down the line.

The irony is that we are going to get to that same diminished place by continuing as we are, in headlong pursuit of MORE. Only much more painfully and with much bleaker prospects than if we'd wised up sooner.
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby EnergySpin » Tue 27 Mar 2007, 22:43:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', '
')We know it works... plants do it every day.

We just don't yet understand how.

Have you ever skimmed through a biochemistry text?
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby JasonHam » Wed 28 Mar 2007, 15:49:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JasonHam', 'I') knew I was going to get this reaction. Anything that isnt doom and gloom is stupid and misinformed to you quacks. Why dont you all just give up right now. Go ahead and jump.... I don't know much about nanotechnology, but it seems that the science has some promise. But NOOOOO, we couldnt possibly advance and discover, new ways of living, that doesnt include a mass dieoff or a crumbling civilization. And you know, the world is flat!!!!! jackasses
so this makes you a troll correct? You posted crap knowing it was crap just to get a crap reaction. You got it.

When you are willing to meet people here in honest and open debate then you will be welcome. Until then, you are a self-centered grandstanding MORON.


Actually , I could give a rats ass about being welcomed. What are you going to do disable my account because I mentioned NanoTechnology? Okay, i give up, you got me And I am being honest and open. I'll admit I knew the "dont worry" part of the title would get some attention. People here are stubbornly convinced that they are correct about peak oil and one day they will be able to say "I told you so!!". too funny..... anything else but a mass dieoff can't be accomplished. again, too funny..... And although there isn't cold hard facts that nanotechnology will solve are energy crisis, I'm inclined to believe that it can. The same science/methods/curioisity/human ability that ushered in the Industrial/Oil Age will usher in a new Age. Will there be times of hardship and great turbulence? you can pretty much count on it!
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby JasonHam » Wed 28 Mar 2007, 16:19:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Coolman', 'L')ook, the die is going to happen. It always does, the population can not grow forever. The belief that anything can go on forever is insane.

And speaking of all these "advanced technologies", I would greet them with extreme skepticism. Stuff like this has been promised in the past before and failed to deliver what it had promised. Nature always finds a way to out smart humans.

It is not that we are doomers here, we are just being realistic. I think almost 100 years of 1st world consumerism has blinded us big time. We are addicted to our consumer products and do and say anything to defend them.


1. Why can't population growth go on forever? Granted it isn't looking to good right now. But who is to say that America wont colonize another planet? Lord knows were running out of places here on earth.

2. Yes, "stuff" has been promised before and failed. But other "Stuff" has advanced are society in many ways. You know, like the wheel and mixing peanut butter and chocolate!!!

3. I'm not saying that consumerism is a good thing. But are consumer based economy has brought me medicine for my allergies, the rolling stones and again, peanut butter and chocolate!!!

Can you imagine trying to explain to someone ,from the 18th century, how the internet works? If I had lived in the 18th cenutry( a blink in history from then to now) I would probably be dead due to an illness. I'm 36.

Look, I like to debate for both teams depending on my mood. I know this Globalized Industrial World and this country in particular is probably headed for some very tough times. But to quickly dismiss a promising new science like nanotechnology or any other technology or science only proves you people wouldve been the ones saying the "world is flat" and "hey, were just being realistic, there is no way you can sail around the world!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!"
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby Heineken » Wed 28 Mar 2007, 16:49:34

We aren't dismissing nano, Jason. We're just saying it won't save the world, and is an unaffordable distraction from the real issues and the real solutions, which are available NOW with the technology we already have. In point of fact, the real solutions are decidedly low-tech.

When it comes to energy, there's no free lunch---it can't be stated often enough. Technology in general holds out the spurious promise of a free lunch, or at least a damned inexpensive one.

Completely unrealistic. As is your belief that "America will colonize another planet." The manned space program has been dead since the 1970s. The US govt. is broke---almost $10 trillion in debt. We're not going to Planet Shangri-La anytime soon, much less "colonizing" it.
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby JasonHam » Wed 28 Mar 2007, 18:49:05

Actually there were several posts dismissing nanotechnology as a "dream". Everything starts as a dream.

You say when it comes to energy there is no free lunch. What if nanotechnology provided that free lunch? I know, I know what if , what if , what if.....all the far out possibilites are just too unrealistic.

NONSENSE!!!! Whatever the human mind conceive, the human mind can acheive.(someone smart said that a long time ago). Just because its seems unrealistic right now doesnt mean it wont happen. Humans are constantly studying, testing,and inventing. I think the human species is just getting started. We will travel and explore the "last frontier". Nano or something else will help us find a new energy source. We will advance medical science so a human beings lifespan will be hundreds if not thousands of years. I think its unrealistic to think we won't!! But were talking about timeframe here and that's the whole point. "Peak oil". When is it going to happen? How are we dealing with it? How can we prepare? How rough will a transition from an Oil Based Civilization be?

I still beleive the question of when Peak Oil will occur still hasnt been answered. One source says this, the other source says this, a bunch of graphs and "facts" are discussed and analyzed. Depending on who you believe its either now or 65 years from now. Governments and society are slowly starting to act. No one really knows for sure how this is all going to play out. One thing is for sure, it will be interesting.............
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby CrudeAwakening » Wed 28 Mar 2007, 19:21:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JasonHam', '
')NONSENSE!!!! Whatever the human mind conceive, the human mind can acheive.(someone smart said that a long time ago).

Bollocks. So all we have to do is dream it, and it becomes achievable? Absolute crap. Whoever said that was smoking the good stuff.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')umans are constantly studying, testing,and inventing. I think the human species is just getting started. We will travel and explore the "last frontier".

Learn some ecology. Mankind is subject to ecological limits, just like all other animals. The last frontier is likely to be a very big cliff.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')We will advance medical science so a human beings lifespan will be hundreds if not thousands of years. I think its unrealistic to think we won't!!

Imagine if we did. Can you conceive of the ecological consequences of such a thing? No, I suspect you can't. Like I said, learn some ecology.
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby Heineken » Wed 28 Mar 2007, 22:27:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JasonHam', 'N')ONSENSE!!!! Whatever the human mind can conceive, the human mind can achieve.


This sort of philosophy falls under the classification of "hubris," another fine product of the human mind. Also "delusions of grandeur."

Well, we saw what the Nazis "conceived." They weren't able to achieve it, at least not for long.

Bush conceived of a lightning victory in Iraq.

I once conceived of being a world-famous poet.

My dead grandmother conceived of living forever.

Want more examples?

Since we've achieved some remarkable things, we naturally assume that we'll just go on achieving even bigger and better things until we are GODS!! Limitless power!!

CrudeAwakening says the rest of it perfectly.
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby JasonHam » Wed 28 Mar 2007, 23:51:02

I think "we can"
you think "we can't"

glass half empty or half full?

I started this thread for 2 reasons.

1. Ive heard the word nanotechnology before but i just recently started to read more about what it is and can be.

2. And its kinda fun irritating doomers with discussion about the sun rising tommorrow.

the quote "Whatever the human mind can conceive, the human mind can achieve." I think was at a macro level, not micro.
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby Heineken » Thu 29 Mar 2007, 00:09:03

We've had lots of forums on nanotech, Jason, and they all lead to the same place: nowhere.

Me, irritated? Go back and read your own posts and see who sounds irritated.
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby Heineken » Thu 29 Mar 2007, 09:27:39

Fab post, pstarr. Feels slightly ethanol-inspired, or otherwise juicily loosened from the prongs of convention.

What I get from it is how cleanly swept away will be the haughty foolish cogitations of the Jasons by the gales of angry earth.
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Re: All problems solved! No need to worry.........NanoRobot

Unread postby Madpaddy » Thu 29 Mar 2007, 11:17:03

Heineken wrote,
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')ell, Chris-h is exactly right. More technology is not the answer. We need less of everything. Less technology. Fewer cars. Fewer houses. Fewer people. Fewer bombs. Less consumption. And so on down the line.


Well, can't we have more gratuitous non reproductive sex.

Seriously though, you have it right. Everyone wants something for nothing. When I started trying to get funding for wind turbines and solar panels where I work, it was all about - what is the payback period? Well, what is the payback period on an oil fired boiler i would reply. I eventually sold the idea on corporate social responsibility etc. (BTW- the payback period really is not great but that's another story).
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