[henrypinge]

Several days ago, I talked to my friend about peak oil, because people, in Taiwan, never care about this issue. My friend heard peak oil before, but he don't believe that.

He told me that "sometime it's hard to tell the different between peak oil doomers and stock market players, because both of them have fancy charts and stories. There are many scenarios proposed by oil doomers in internet, one says it's a life-long slow decline, an other says production plateau may hold decade and then moderate decline, and the other says a catastrophe collapse is coming. Guess what, there are many scenarios proposed by stock market players in internet, one says DJ index will decline one month later, an other says index may hold several years even we have a recession, and the other says a catastrophe index collapse is coming. ", he said.

He thinks peak oil doomer is not a good predictor, but a good novelist. Because he highly doubt that any one could really predict world energy supply, just as he doubt any one could predict DJ index....

[mos6507]

Get used to it. There is a reason most of us don't bother talking about peak oil. The only way to find other peakers is online because they are so few and far between. Sometimes I think a peaker is born rather than made.

[efarmer]

When the average person has heard about the peak of inexpensive petroleum
and they become aware that it is not going to continue to be able to be used as
if it was limitless compared to our own or the immediate lifetimes we are enmeshed
with, a great work has been accomplished in and of itself.

People all want concise predictability out of complex issues and assume when
they cannot be delivered, the complex issue is perhaps invalid.

Going from almost global ignorance of the theory of finite cheap petroleum to
awareness is a large step, too far for some to take, to little for PO minded
people to accept. And so it is, and will stay until events drive it from the
position toward the truth in whatever direction.

[bromius]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('henrypinge', 'S')everal days ago, I talked to my friend about peak oil, because people, in Taiwan, never care about this issue. My friend heard peak oil before, but he don't believe that.

He told me that "sometime it's hard to tell the different between peak oil doomers and stock market players, because both of them have fancy charts and stories. There are many scenarios proposed by oil doomers in internet, one says it's a life-long slow decline, an other says production plateau may hold decade and then moderate decline, and the other says a catastrophe collapse is coming. Guess what, there are many scenarios proposed by stock market players in internet, one says DJ index will decline one month later, an other says index may hold several years even we have a recession, and the other says a catastrophe index collapse is coming. ", he said.

He thinks peak oil doomer is not a good predictor, but a good novelist. Because he highly doubt that any one could really predict world energy supply, just as he doubt any one could predict DJ index....

[Ayame]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('henrypinge', ' ')My friend heard peak oil before, but he don't believe that.

He told me that "sometime it's hard to tell the different between peak oil doomers and stock market players, because both of them have fancy charts and stories. There are many scenarios proposed by oil doomers in internet, one says it's a life-long slow decline, an other says production plateau may hold decade and then moderate decline, and the other says a catastrophe collapse is coming.

He thinks peak oil doomer is not a good predictor, but a good novelist. Because he highly doubt that any one could really predict world energy supply, just as he doubt any one could predict DJ index....