Page added on December 22, 2005
Here’s the latest plot of average monthly oil production from various estimates. Click to enlarge. Believed to be all liquids. Graph is not zero-scaled. Source: IEA, and EIA. The IEA raw line is what they initially state each month. The IEA corrected line is calculated from the month-on-month production change quoted the following month.
Overall, it still looks to me like there was a structural break last summer. Whether we are very close to peak, or we will crawl up some more is hard to tell, but the sharp increases of 2002-2004 definitely seemed to stop in the middle of last year.
More evidence after the jump to The Oil Drum.
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