A new book entitled
Mathematical GeoEnergy: Oil Discovery, Depletion and Renewable Energy Analysis by Paul Pukite, Dennis Coyne, and Dan Challou
will be published late next year by Wiley as part of their AGU Book Series.
We are looking for potential reviewers of the manuscript. As the title implies, the contents are math intensive, and suitable for a college-level science or engineering curriculum. If interested, please send an email to peakoilbarrel@gmail.com .
Table of Contents
Part 1 – Depletion
Chapter 1. Introduction
Why we need to understand oil depletion. Rationale for our analysis and a motivation for analysis beyond oil.
Chapter 2. The Problem
Who has tried to qualitatively model oil depletion? An analysis of how the current models fall short.
Chapter 3. The Premise
What fundamental ideas do we apply? Mathematical groundwork and premise for the analysis.
Chapter 4. The Facts in the Ground and Finding Needles in a Haystack.
Where do we find oil reservoirs? Basics of modeling discovery.
Chapter 5. The Analysis of Growth and the Shock Model.
When does the extraction kick in? Basics of modeling production and depletion.
Chapter 6. Applying Dispersive Discovery and Reserve Growth
How discovery affects production. Combining discovery and production as an integrated model. How estimates of oil evolve.
Chapter 7. The Context of Discovery and Oil Production.
How do we simplify the search model and verify the extraction model? Supplemental analysis for modeling discovery and production.
Chapter 8. The Results.
Which data sets support the model? Lengthy chapter on applying models to regional data.
Chapter 9. The Discussion: Alternate Consensus Approaches and Cornucopian Conundrums
Which conditions can impact the model? Caveats to the analysis with comparison to other models. How do other pessimistic projections fit in? And how do we reconcile against optimistic analyses?
Chapter 10. An Oil Level Check and Diagnosis
While we have gotten this far, what can we conclude? What current situation do we find ourselves in? How do recent and evolving developments figure in?
Chapter 11. The Implications and Prognosis
Why should you believe in scientific models? Addressing concerns over modeling. What can we extrapolate for the future?
Part 2 – Renewal
The second section explains what was learned from the oil age which can be used to create a post-fossil-fuel world. This includes analysis of the most important considerations for renewable energy, alternative energy carriers, and of smart energy conservation.
Chapter 12. Introduction and Energy Transition
Application of stochastic math beyond oil depletion. Projection of future energy demands
Chapter 13. Wind energy
How to characterize the statistics of wind variability.
Chapter 14. Solar energy
Physics of mass-produced photovoltaics.
Chapter 15. Battery technology
Physics of Lithium-ion batteries
Chapter 16. Thermal sources
Transport of heat
Chapter 17. Wave energy
Characterizing waves
Chapter 18. Climate
Models of climate prediction
Chapter 19. Travel and Terrain
Statistics of travel. Statistics of elevation
Chapter 21. Resilience and Durability
Building things to last, models of failure and corrosion
Chapter 22. Pollution
Dispersion and half-life in the context of nuclear energy and pollutants
Chapter 23. Noise and Uncertainty
How to characterize imperfect information
Chapter 24. Econophysics and Information Science
The statistics of humans in the loop, how disseminate information
Note that this thread will be for Petroleum related comments, any discussion of topics not directly related to oil or natural gas or the book should be in the non-Petroleum thread. Even comments discussing Part 2 of the book would be better to discuss in the Non-Petroleum Thread.
Peak Oil Barrel by Dennis Coyne
Shortend on Wed, 4th Oct 2017 12:35 pm
Boy, glad its not a required college credit course…wonder how much Wiley will charge for the book after it’s published?
Hope Rocadope and Shortcut apply, boy that would be an amusing round table!
My quests they will charge an easy $275.00
LetStupidPeopleDie on Wed, 4th Oct 2017 4:27 pm
Of course there is no chapter about thermodynamic analysis of oil well production and net energy analysis of oil well production and oil transformation.
Dennis Coyne is the loser at peakoilbarrel that keep arguing that money is more important then net energy analysis. On the preakoilbarrel he goes in long post about money and the perfect oil price.
We don’t need more people like him and Gail the actuary talking about price oil, debt and money.
We need people that have enough imagination to imagine a new economical system where every transaction will be energy base instead of money base.
Most people are now too stupid to understand anything remotely complex or have any kind of imagination. Best let the human specie die off, with the die off the specie so will be the die off of pain.
Davy on Wed, 4th Oct 2017 5:30 pm
“Table of Contents”
Part 1 demand management and population control.
draconian and disruptive
sooner the better.
pain and suffering
hunger and death
The results are unknown
luck
Anonymous on Wed, 4th Oct 2017 5:41 pm
Dennis is a nice guy, but I think he is too much of an amateur and a blogger to be writing a textbook. In many cases, he doesn’t even know what he doesn’t know.