Page added on January 5, 2015
Toyota’s Jim Lentz Predicts Peak Oil by 2020
Commonwealth Club – The Commonwealth Club of California
Though the auto industry seemed on the brink of collapse, the recent Cash for Clunkers program arguably helped to jump-start the car economy and get wheels moving again. But what does this really mean for cars and drivers today?During the recession, will the demand for smarter, cleaner models continue, or will people choose to skimp on driving altogether? Industry veteran James Lentz will discuss the future of cars in America.
11 Comments on "Toyota’s Jim Lentz Predicts Peak Oil by 2020"
Kenz300 on Mon, 5th Jan 2015 8:45 am
Electric vehicles are the future……….
The little startup TESLA is showing the major auto makers how it can be done. They are now all playing catch up with the little tech company from California.
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China’s push to move to electric vehicles will drive down prices and increase adoption around the world. We saw what happened to solar energy prices when they made a big push to support solar.
China rolls out the world’s largest electric car charging network – YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UkYHxiSrsHY&spfreload=10
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Despite Cheaper Gas, Public Transit Ridership Is Up, Trade Group Reports – NYTimes.com
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/22/us/despite-cheaper-gas-public-transit-ridership-is-up-trade-group-reports.html?emc=edit_th_20141222&nl=todaysheadlines&nlid=21372621&_r=0
Kenz300 on Mon, 5th Jan 2015 8:50 am
Cities are too congested and too polluted to continue building more roads that go nowhere during rush hour…….
Some cities and states encourage bicycles ………. they provide safe walking and biking lanes and trails. Cities also should encourage businesses and apartments to provide safe places to lock or store a bicycle. Every city needs a diverse set of transportation options. Walking, bicycling and mass transit need to be a bigger part of the mix.
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What defines Dutch Cycling (2) – YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g4jBpdTicRI&spfreload=10
GregT on Mon, 5th Jan 2015 9:14 am
Geez Kenz,
Your pre-scripted ramblings are getting further removed from reality every day.
Davy on Mon, 5th Jan 2015 10:15 am
Yea Greg, I am wondering if Kenz is a computer programmed to comment per reference titles. This could be the new spam of the blog sphere.
Kenz, we admire your dedication but inject some personality and soul into it son or you are doing your message a disservice. Presentation is a priority in today’s competitive propaganda environment.
GregT on Mon, 5th Jan 2015 10:34 am
Welcome back to the 99 percent Davy. How was your holiday?
Apneaman on Mon, 5th Jan 2015 10:46 am
When a billionaire builds another company it cannot be considered a “little startup”.
Davy on Mon, 5th Jan 2015 10:46 am
Greg, thanks man holidays were too good. I left a balmy 80 noon yesterday and got back to 8 degrees last night and a furnace in one of my rental houses not working. Turns out the plumber replacing water heater forgot to turn gas back on. I am sure I will still get a bill though. So heavenly in the morning to devilish in the evening.!
GregT on Mon, 5th Jan 2015 10:52 am
Ya Davy,
It certainly doesn’t take long to get back into the swing of things, does it. Hawaii for me is already a distant memory.
Speculawyer on Mon, 5th Jan 2015 3:08 pm
Toyota has certainly been a world-leader in efficient automobiles with their great line of Prius hybrids.
However, I think they have started to go down the wrong path by strongly pushing hydrogen fuel cell cars. Yes, it is nice that you can refuel them relatively quickly and they have a decent range. But they are expensive to build, you can’t refuel at home, the hydrogen is expensive, there is no existing hydrogen refueling infrastructure, they are very inefficient compared to EVs when powered with renewable energy, etc.
But I think they’ll eventually see the error of their ways and jump big into plug-in vehicles. The Germans have seen the light with Mercedes, BMW, and VW/Audi/Porsche all jumping big into plug-in vehicles in recent years.
steve on Mon, 5th Jan 2015 5:27 pm
Well I am hoping for a Tesla like moment…I mean the man not the car company. He was a brilliant man and a lot of his ideas were initially thought of as ridiculous. If we can come up with something we could ramp it up pretty quick as we did in 1910….even with world war going on…however I lose hope daily that humanity will even survive this bottleneck….I have found that it is important to have optimism that we will make it even if it is unfounded or uneducated. The Stockdale paradox is my guide and hope…
GregT on Mon, 5th Jan 2015 6:21 pm
spec,
I live in British Columbia. We are fortunate enough here to have hydro electric power generation. I attended a BC Hydro Power Smart seminar a few years back. We were told at that time that 50% of all electricity in BC by the year 2020 will need to come from conservation. In other words, we will all need to adjust to using one half of the electricity that we do now, either through efficiencies or simply using less. According to Statistics Canada there were 3,380,245 cars registered in BC in 2013. Tell me spec, where do you think that all of the extra electric power generation is going to come from?
BC Hydro has proposed a new hydro electric dam in our province, called Site C. It is expected to generate enough electricity for around 450,000 homes, with a budget of 8 billion dollars. (which I am sure will be overrun by a huge percentage) That works out to 18000 dollars per home, or around a 25 year payback. In the meantime it is expected that one city, Vancouver BC alone, will add 1 million new residents in that same time period. Do the math spec.
Like I said above, in BC we generate electricity from hydro. As ‘renewable’ as it gets. The rest of the world, not so much. According to the EIA, 39% of US electric power generation is from coal, 27% is from natural gas, and 19% is from nuclear, for a grand total of 85% of all US electric power generation from non-renewable, environmentally unfriendly sources.
You are over simplifying things spec. While it is nice to believe that we are heading for a George Jetson future, nothing could be further from reality. The future that we are rapidly heading towards will be more like the Flintstones. Some of us here have already done the math spec. We have already gone down the road that you have just turned onto. There was a time that I believed as you do now. I have done the research, and I now understand how wrong I once was.
Sorry to burst your bubble spec. Nothing more than wishful thinking. Oh, and before you go on about Hydrogen spec. do a little research. Hydrogen is not an energy source. The Prius, great idea. But does nothing more than prolong the inevitable for a few more years.
And by the way, my company is currently installing electric vehicle plug in stations. We have already looked at EVs inside out, and upside down.