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How the gold market was crashed

How the gold market was crashed thumbnail

There’s been a recent huge draw down of physical gold at the New York
COMEX and at the JPMorgan Chase depository. Look at the physical
market draw down on the charts below. It has taken a drastic plunge.

HOUSTON — we have a problem.
Physical inventory drawdown at JPM

Charts by Nick Laird of www.sharelynx.com

Physical Drawdown at COMEX

Charts by Nick Laird of www.sharelynx.com

You can imagine the dilemma this is causing for the market interests behind these inventories. If the inventory runs out and one cannot meet deliveries, then it has to be bought on the open market. Not only that but it could cause a run up in prices that would hurt the shorts in the market.
So what to do?
The only way out of this dilemma for the market controllers would be to devise a plan that would collapse the market and trip up
all the stops at the correction lows in gold of $1,525 thereby setting off the stop loss orders under this important market low. And
what if the plan included a way to stop the physical market from purchasing gold under $1,525 while that correction was
underway? That would be brilliant.
And how can that happen?
They have to hatch a plan and carefully orchestrate it in a series of events that takes the gold market completely by surprise and
force players out of their long positions.
Read on for today’s lesson in market manipulation and allow me to relay my speculation about what transpired last week.
A successful ambush usually involves surprise. And the surprise requires a carefully orchestrated setup. So now let’s get a look
at how the crash was prepared.
The FOMC minutes from the last meeting were due for release during last week. But a funny thing happened. They got
released EARLIER than expected. It was all a big mistake and the FED let the SEC and the CFTC know right away that the
error had occurred. And lo and behold, despite the FED’s transparency and newly crafted reputation for delivering timely and
accurate reports, there happened to be some language we didn’t get updated on until the FOMC minutes were released. The
notes say that several members have been discussing cutting back on the stimulus. That was strike one. It got the gold market
thinking that stimulus cuts might be coming.
Strike one called by the umpire.
Surprise number two appears.
A bombshell was released from news sources. It was reported that Cyprus would have to sell 400 million Euro’s of gold as part
of the bailout package of raising money for their failed banking system. Gold prices came down to $1,550 on the news and the
day passed by. Even though Cyprus bankers tell us the next day that they didn’t discuss selling any gold, market jitters remained
with Friday just around the corner.
This was strike two.
Now we need a strike three and you’re out.
Gold is a nervous market to begin with as a lot of people have already lost a lot of money in the last six months. With Gold at
$1,550, all that is needed for the market to drop is to get one more push where all the stops are. This price level was just below
the two-year low of $1,525.
With the setup in place the final pitch was ready to be delivered.
Selling began in the Friday sessions overseas. By time we got to the New York COMEX gold open, price was down to $1,542.
Now all the players were on the scene, in the game and ready with volume and liquidity to create the final blow to the gold
market.

Then the attack began. Wave after wave of selling pummeled gold until it got to $1,525. Then the break down of price below the
two year low and all the stops that have been accumulating there start getting executed. Selling then accelerates as it begins to
feed on itself.

The physical market for gold sees this massive stop loss explosion as a gift and gets ready to make their move to buy up the
gold on the cheap.
Now comes the part that is pure genius or a total coincidental thing that just so happens to be a gift to those who are short the
market and those who would be responsible to deliver gold should the inventory deplete.

ALL OF A SUDDEN THE LONDON PHYSICAL PLATFORM THAT BUYS AND SELLS PHYSICAL GOLD GETS LOCKED UP.
THE SYSTEM FREEZES.
The screens all freeze.
What does that mean?
No one can get to the physical market to buy at these low prices but at the same time, they can’t sell or protect their positions
either. The system is frozen. Yes, just like at Bit-coin. The system locks up. And of course the results are going to be the same,
just on a lower percentage level.
What can the physical holders do?
Meanwhile the futures market continues to drop.
So what happens? The physical market holders begin to panic. How can they protect themselves as they can’t sell either?
What would you do if you were in that situation?
There is only one solution, especially during a panic. Short and ask questions later.

Therefore it is my speculation that based on 350,000 contracts sold on Friday and the massive drop in price; some of those
contracts were a result of the physical market having no choice but to enter into the futures markets to hedge their physical
position holdings by selling contracts or shorting the market.
Their choice was either this solution, or wait until Monday and be subject to potentially heavy losses should margin calls go out
over the weekend. With no time to think and survival instinct kicking in, the physical holders most likely did what they could to
protect themselves. They went in and shorted the futures market.
At this point the market goes into a free fall as the physical market can’t buy at these low prices because the computer system
is down; they can only sell futures to hedge their long physical holdings and so they do what they have to and begin selling
futures.

Now it gets worse. As the price drops even more, underfunded players are getting wiped out and now they begin to liquidate.
The market goes into a total collapse as all the stops below $1,500 get tripped up and the market tanks to $1,490.
The market finally closes in New York and returns to the $1,500 area.
But it’s not over. There’s another situation going on. The weekend is arriving and players begin wondering about margin calls.
How are holders going to get money to their brokers over the weekend for the Monday trade session?
But there is not enough liquidity as the COMEX has closed and only the aftermarket GLOBEX is there to execute trades.
Without a doubt, the shorts know exactly what is about to transpire.
As the market players begin to work this out in their mind there is only one thing left to do. Try and exit and get out in the Globex
market. So the selling begins again. The market hits below $1,500 and then $1,490 get broken. The market sells as much as it
can up until the very last minute of trade at 5PM New York time. Even then it’s not over. For some reason the volume and the
price keeps moving. Was there special consideration going on for those connected who wanted out? I don’t know. But at 5:07
PM Eastern standard time the market closes at 352,248 contracts and a price of $1,476.10 down a whopping 5.67%, or $88.80.
And this should not surprise you –
The banks and brokers are open all weekend and as long as it takes to go through all the accounts and issue all the MARGIN
calls.

If they get the margin calls out by Saturday, the customers have 24 hours to get more money to their brokers. If the money is not
received by Sunday night or Monday morning, the positions will have to be liquidated, just when the market is at its lowest
liquidity and the longs have had all weekend to think about it and the media has had time to tell everyone that the bull market in
gold is over.

I hope you understand the picture of how the control boys forced a major sell off. I speculate the panic over low gold inventory
had someone hatch a plan to save their accounts and a lot that was at stake for them.
The plot began with leaked information with explosive potential changes in USA policy, and continued with published
information that Europe/Cyprus would have to sell 400 million Euro’s of physical gold. Finally, once the sell-off began the
physical gold market platform in London locks up and no one has buy or sell access in the physical spot market.
Did the control boys lock down the physical market platform or was it pure coincidence? Either way they have total plausible
deniability.

HOW?

The computer system went down. It couldn’t handle the traffic and it shut down or a glitch happened in the server. It can be any
one of many reasons.
This exact same thing happened during the last take down of gold in late December 2011.
VOILA. The perfect excuse and the perfect scenario.
The physical markets couldn’t buy at those low prices. Let me repeat that. The physical markets couldn’t buy. They could only
sell futures to hedge their physical gold positions.
Of course this will all be reported on the news and in the financials right?
Wrong.
None of it will be reported as none of it was reported on Dec. 29, 2011 when the control boys did the same thing and locked out
the computer and left the physical market holding the bag. Not one word hit the papers.
Most people are not even aware that the physical market is run by computers. They have never considered or thought about
how the physical market works and executes. Guess what folks? It works the same way as futures via computers and
programs.
How do you think it works? Did you think that people show up with all their gold at an auction house and buying and bidding
goes on with a mediator who can speak two hundred words a minute and gold is auctioned off like rugs or art?
No it runs off a computer system.
How do I know all of this happened on Friday?

Because I was in direct contact with a big physical dealer out of the mid-east as it was happening. They took the time to explain
the physical market to me — how the physical dealers get SHUT out of the game — as happened before during the last panic
(and physical shortage) in December 2011.
Here is the screen shot of the actual physical market in action from Jan. 4, 2012 that the physical trader sent me.
There’s a term for this manipulative tactic in the trading world. It’s called “Beat the Beehive.” You smash the nest and then watch
the total confusion feed on itself. By the next day all the bees are gone and all that’s left is a smashed up beehive.
There has been a lot of speculation on the markets and manipulation that is going on. What I’ve offered in this report using the
fact that gold crashed on Friday is a scenario on how it could have been orchestrated. I leave it to the reader to pass judgment
on the potential.

At 8:33 AM Friday morning with gold just beginning to trade, GoldTrends listed a potential for $1,490 on twitter if $1,525 was
taken out. Here is the chart of the COMEX session. Note the low. That blue channel line was what we based our projection
potential on. The rest as they say is history.
What Next?

I will be assessing the damage over the week.
If there really is a shortage then there will be clues that should show up that should show up in the physical markets. We will be
on the watch for them if they develop. If we see these clues we will advise subscribers as they develop. The last system lock out
was on Dec. 29, 2011. The clues showed up then and a $270 rally took place from $1,525 to $1,795 by Feb. 29. Interestingly on
Feb. 29, gold fell $100 an ounce on a Bernanke announcement that the Fed was considering slowing down on QE.
Let me say this. IF the Feds were to slow down on QE, the entire system would collapse in a major deflationary spiral. In a
speech two months ago at a college Mr. Bernanke admitted that the FED always tries to “talk” control or what they want to see
happen. When that doesn’t work they expand to other more important methods of policy.
There are only two things that can bring gold down: A manipulated event like we just saw or a liquidity squeeze like we saw in
2008 where an immediate need for cash forced the liquidation of all assets.

Can it happen again?

An Alpha Pages publication. All Rights Reserved.
Yes, but this time it would be on a global scale and much more powerful than the Lehman crisis of 2008. While many think a
sovereign default would create an inflationary spiral, it’s the opposite that could happen. A default would result in liquidation and
99 cents out of every dollar in the banking system has been lent out. The need for cold hard cash would be enormous and the
only way to get it to avoid leverage margin calls would be to sell assets at a low enough price to attract immediate cash. That is
what happened in 2008. With one penny in banks and 99 cents of debt a spiral the other way could develop.
But you say the FEDS could print the money. Would they have time?
Once a deflationary collapse takes place, then a HYPER INFLATIONARY event can take place. But this is all for another report.
Stay tuned as it’s probably going to get real interesting.
Originally published on Resource Investor. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
How the gold market was crashed

FuturesMag



8 Comments on "How the gold market was crashed"

  1. GregT on Wed, 17th Apr 2013 10:34 pm 

    If history has taught us anything, deflation leads to war, and hyperinflation. The author is correct, things are probably about to get real interesting.

    Hang on to your physical gold, and silver.

  2. BillT on Thu, 18th Apr 2013 12:56 am 

    There have never been so many black swans circling at one time. The manipulators keep shooting at them with their BB guns but they are out of range.

    Eventually they are going to land and all hell is going to break loose here in the West.

  3. DC on Thu, 18th Apr 2013 4:21 am 

    Of course the price of gold had to shot down. The main reason gold appreicated so much of late, was people were(rightly) leery of the US dolla, and fled to it for securtity. Gold after all, is the currency of last resort, and gold price, was in effect saying, ‘we’ have less and less faith in the Us dollar.

    Cant have that going on though. Gold was starting to make the dollar look bad, so it had to be reigned in. You see, the dollar is a turd, and they couldnt polish it any, not possible. So in that case, go to plan ‘b’, make gold look bad. In the same way the US has been going to extraordinary lengths to make the Euro look bad, its now making an equally intense effort to make gold look bad.

    Truth is, if most people knew how bad things *truly* were, gold would likely be considered an absolute bargain if it were back at its old $1700 price.

  4. Arthur on Thu, 18th Apr 2013 5:23 am 

    Although I am not afraid of conspiracy theories, for instance regarding 9/11, Newtown or Boston, in the case of the recent gold slide I do not think ‘evil manipulating forces’ were behind it, but rather market forces and that there were armies of individuals who thought and acted exactly as I did. In 2005 under the influence of viral theories through the internet, mostly in rightwing/libertarian circles, gold and silver was promoted as a hedge against the impending excessive creation of ‘fiat money’. These theories proved to be exactly right and the value of silver and gold quadruppelled in seven years. But since gold had been stable for more than a year or so, the general judgment was that this was it and that the time had come to take the profit. And now we are in for a hefty correction. Gold had become just another bubble. Tulip mania.

  5. BillT on Thu, 18th Apr 2013 11:57 am 

    Except that gold is still going to go right back up in a few weeks or months. It will likely pass $2,000 by the end of the year. Not that I have more than a few rings and a few pieces of silver. But then, I sleep well at night as I do not worry about my ‘wealth’.

  6. Arthur on Thu, 18th Apr 2013 12:08 pm 

    Could be… gold likely will move from private owners, who take their profits like me, to big players with too many dollars in their pockets, first and foremost the Chinese.

    If gold will do $2000 in the future it will be because those dollars will not be the same as the current ones and will have a distinct Zimbabwian smell about them.

  7. GregT on Thu, 18th Apr 2013 3:41 pm 

    Every single newspaper, radio broadcast, and television newscast where I live, is entirely focused on the Boston Marathon Bombing, 24/7. Which, by the way, happened exactly at the same time as the commodities market downturn on Monday. Gold is not the only market that was smacked down. Coincidence? Anything is possible, I guess.

    Historically, bubbles burst at a point in time where everyone is frantically buying. People on the street everywhere are trying to “get in” so that they can ride the elevator “to the moon”. Out of the thousands of people that I interact with, I know of exactly 3 people that have bought gold, one bought “paper”, while the other 2 bought physical. None of them have sold this downturn, and one is buying.

    For the last 7 years I have carried a one ounce silver maple leaf coin in my pocket. Out of curiosity, from time to time, I will show it to people. In seven years I have found exactly 5 people that have had any idea as to what it is. Silver maples are struck with a five dollar denomination. Everyone reacts the same way, they have no idea that the Canadian government had issued a five dollar coin. When I explain to them that it is “worth” more than five dollars, they are totally confused.

    It may be different in Europe, I don’t know, but here in North America, Gold and Silver are not on people’s radar. In my city with a population of over 2 million people, there are only 3 places that sell precious metals, and I have never seen more than a half dozen people in any of them at any given time.

    Gold has always been the currency of Kings and the global elite. The gold game has been played for centuries. The biggest holders of gold are sovereign nations, central banks, and the global elite. The rest of us peons with our ounces of gold are playing with insignificant, “chump change”. The big boys are playing with tonnes.

  8. Arthur on Thu, 18th Apr 2013 4:42 pm 

    Buying gold is typical for freelance guys in their fifties, who have already paid off the mortgage, have a little cash and spend a lot of time behind the internet, first of all libertarian sites, if they don’t work for clients, which they do less with every passing year. Guys like me.lol That’s where you pick up these ideas. Not many people do that indeed, not even independendets, most of them rely on a boring pension plans and fund papers sold by a broker from their bank. I have them too, they are as dead as a doornail, did not change nominal value in 20 years. Does not matter, I have no further material wishes, apart from iPad 5.lol, do not need to go places any more and the only desire left is as many free hours for myself as possible.

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