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Page added on September 11, 2012
Complex Systems Theorists Predict We’re About One Year From Global Food Riots
“In a 2011 paper, researchers at the Complex Systems Institute unveiled a model that accurately explained why the waves of unrest that swept the world in 2008 and 2011 crashed when they did. The number one determinant was soaring food prices. Their model identified a precise threshold for global food prices that, if breached, would lead to worldwide unrest.”
5 Comments on "Complex Systems Theorists Predict We’re About One Year From Global Food Riots"
Ken Nohe on Tue, 11th Sep 2012 1:41 am
From the beginning it was obvious that the Arab spring had very little to do with freedom and a lot to do with food prices. The merit of this report is to generalize the concept.
There is a relative good news; Western countries are still quite far from the edge. But the bad news is that most developing countries are not and with bulging populations getting one step closer every year. This is quite concerning in an integrated world. When the periphery comes crashing down, how long will it be before it affect the center?
M_B_S on Tue, 11th Sep 2012 6:24 am
Oh, the center crashes too.
The bread baskets of the world are dieing out.
After the US now Australia
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/11/australia-wheat-idUSL3E8KB0AT20120911
mike on Tue, 11th Sep 2012 7:46 am
If places like india,Japan and china go down due to food shortages we’ll be left with little to no technology imports. Our way of life would stumble on for a while , but even if we began producing things here in the UK again, we would still have to import metals, rare materials and energy from places that were in a significant collapse process. Interesting times 🙂
Kenz300 on Tue, 11th Sep 2012 1:01 pm
80 million more mouths to feed on the planet every year. This never ending increase in population is not sustainable and only leads to more poverty, suffering and despair. Access to family planning services needs to be available to all that want it. If you can not provide for yourself you can not provide for a child.
Too many people and too few resources.
SOS on Tue, 11th Sep 2012 4:15 pm
And what did they predict last year, or in 1999?