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Page added on July 16, 2012

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James Howard Kunstler: It’s Too Late for Solutions

Author and social critic James Howard Kunstler has been one of the earliest, most direct, and most articulate voices to warn of the consequences — economic and otherwise — of modern society’s profligate wasting of the resources that underlie its growth.

In his new book Too Much Magic, Jim attacks the wishful thinking dominant today that with a little more growth, a little more energy, a little more technology — a little more magic — we’ll somehow sail past our current tribulations without having to change our behavior.

Such self-delusion is particularly dangerous because it is preventing us from taking intelligent, constructive action at the national level when the clock is fast ticking out of our favor. In fact, Jim claims we are past the state where solutions are possible – instead, we need a response plan to help us best brace for the impact of the coming consequences. And we need it fast.

[We now live in] this weird, peculiar period in American history when the delusional thinking has risen to astronomical levels — predictably, really — in response to the stress levels that our society feels. And it is expressing itself as sort of “waiting for Santa Claus and the Tooth Fairy” to deliver a set of rescue remedies to us so that we can continue running Wal-Mart, Walt Disney World, Suburbia, the U.S. Army, and the Interstate Highway System by other means. That is the great wish out there. It is kind of understandable because that is the stuff that we have, and people tend to defend the stuff that they have in any given society and the systems and platforms that they run on.  But it is probably a form of collective behavior that is not really going to benefit us very much and really amounts to simply wasting our time, and wasting our dwindling resources, and even our spiritual resources when we could be doing things that are a lot more intelligent.

Here is something I have detected as I travel around the country: there is a clamor for “solutions”. Everywhere I go people say “Don’t be a doomer, give us solutions.” And I discovered that the subtext to all that is they really want solutions for allowing them to keep on living exactly the way they are living now. To keep on running Wal-mart, and keep on running suburbia, and keep on running the highway system, and the whole kit of parts. And what that really means is, that they are looking for ways to add on additional complexity to a society that is already suffering from too much complexity.

So I am trying to propose something a little different. Rather than so-called solutions, I am proposing that we use the term “intelligent responses”, which is not so grandiose. It does not come with a whole grab bag of promises that life is actually going to work out exactly the way you wish. A lot of the intelligent responses that we could be making to our predicament would have a lot to do with decomplexifying and with simplifying. But we do not want to do that; we just want to add more complexity, and that is what some of the wishful thinking and vanities about technology are all about.

We are discovering more and more is that the world is comprehensively broke in every sphere, and in every dimension and in every way. The governments in every level are all broke, the households are going broke, the banks are insolvent, the money really is not there. And the pretense that the money is there has been kept going simply with accounting fraud. And accounting fraud really accounts for most of the so-called “innovation” that we chatter incessantly about – this is at the heart of Too Much Magic and the wishful thinking about technology. We are so intoxicated with this idea that we can create new and wonderful things. And we have absolutely no sense that the new and wonderful things that we created in the money system are destroying the money system.

One of the lessons that used to be at the center of a liberal education, and no longer is, is that life is tragic. And by that I do not mean that happy endings are impossible or that bad outcomes are guaranteed. What I mean is that there are consequences to the things that you do and that everything has a beginning and a middle and an end. And we have to get real with those.

It seems to me that the whole capital issue is going to accelerate hugely over the summer. I really do not see how the Europeans can get out of the box they are in – it really does not look like they are going to be able to form a European fiscal union. And it really does not look like the Germans are going to be willing to print money into a hyperinflation. And so I think that the disappearance of money is going to accelerate, and it is going to be all getting sucked into a black hole over the next six months. And that is going to be the beginning of a broad-based social awareness of the nature of this problem.

 

Peak Prosperity



12 Comments on "James Howard Kunstler: It’s Too Late for Solutions"

  1. BillT on Mon, 16th Jul 2012 3:56 am 

    “A timeout for technology coming…”

    Total agreement! There is a lot that will stop progress in the future. The economy being a major one. Resources being another.

  2. Arthur on Mon, 16th Jul 2012 10:49 am 

    Largely agree with Kunstler. But I do not think Europe is going to collapse financially this year. The problem is currently is Spains banking system, but the Spanish state has about the lowest debt in entire Europe (<70% GDP):

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_public_debt

    But at least Europe is choosing the hard (that is the responsible) route of austerity: suffer now rather than postpone suffering.

  3. Arthur on Mon, 16th Jul 2012 11:08 am 

    Just read in LewRockwell:

    http://lewrockwell.com/rep3/27-things-about-national-debt.html

    “The United States already has more government debt per capita than Greece, Portugal, Italy, Ireland or Spain does.”

    It is very well possible that the global financial system will meltdown, but I still think the meltdown will begin in the US, just like in 2008. Not that it really matters, since we are all interconnected domino’s. Besides, the US has more enemies (by it’s own fault) than Greece or Spain.

    But it is also very likely that the US will seek the flight forwards from financial catastrophe and start a war to justify drastic domestic measures.

    More from LewRockwell.com:

    “Since Barack Obama entered the White House, the U.S. national debt has increased by an average of more than $64,000 per taxpayer.”

    “Today, the government debt to GDP ratio in the United States is well over 100 percent.”

    But no austerity measures here: “It is being projected that the U.S. national debt will surpass 23 trillion dollars in 2015.”

    Boy, what a mess this is going to be.

  4. dsula on Mon, 16th Jul 2012 11:18 am 

    We (the world) has the highest production capacity it ever had in its history. How can we be broke?

  5. BillT on Mon, 16th Jul 2012 11:20 am 

    Actually Arthur, I think one of the EU countries will go under and take Europe with it, followed quickly by the Us. The Us can print until no one will sell to us anymore. Then it is over.

    And “austerity” will not fix anything, just make the elite richer. Better to declare bankruptcy, take the 1% down with you and then rebuild at a much lower economic level. It’s going to happen anyway. Now would be better.

  6. dsula on Mon, 16th Jul 2012 11:22 am 

    >>>> It seems to me that the whole capital issue is going to accelerate hugely over the summer.

    Ah, come on James. You make your imminent doom predictions now for 10 years and nothing ever happens ‘next month’. Your writings are fun to read, but I think you should give up the predictions part of it. It’s not very accurate.

  7. Kenz300 on Mon, 16th Jul 2012 11:59 am 

    Quote — “Don’t be a doomer, give us solutions.”
    ——————–

    Intelligent responses to the problems of life and the world. Will we make intelligent response?

  8. Heineken on Mon, 16th Jul 2012 2:05 pm 

    Kunstler writes good stuff. I wish our society had even a small fraction of his brain. But it is brainless, or at best evil-minded.

  9. BillT on Mon, 16th Jul 2012 3:33 pm 

    Heineken, we have psychopaths running the banking system, bought puppets running the government and mindless sheep thinking they still live in a Democracy with freedom. The best that could happen is that it all collapses, about 1/3 to 1/2 of us die and the rest start over.

    It would have already happened, but it takes time to burn up the accumulated wealth of generations. We are almost there and then the predictions of JHK will happen.

    Do you think you have a retirement program/savings? I bet you are wrong!

  10. hubbertsfreak on Mon, 16th Jul 2012 3:42 pm 

    I don’t fault Kunstler for his predictions. If you see a rusted out bridge and tell everyone it is going to collapse, people laugh at you until the day it crashes into the water. I read somewhere that less than 1.5% of the population has any sort of long term emergency preparations. We need more people like Martenson and Kunstler out there educating people.

  11. Arthur on Mon, 16th Jul 2012 5:15 pm 

    dsula: “We (the world) has the highest production capacity it ever had in its history. How can we be broke?”

    You must mean the production capacity of printing money?

  12. Arthur on Mon, 16th Jul 2012 5:38 pm 

    Dsula, we might have the largest production capacity in history, but the point is we don’t have the fuel much longer to run this production machinery. That’s the point of this site, you know. And the consequences of this is that we no longer can service our debts, leading to the great default.

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