Page added on February 3, 2012
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said on Friday Iran would retaliate over Western-backed oil sanctions and any threat of attack, after U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta was cited as saying he feared a possible Israeli strike as early as April.
Khamenei’s defiant speech to mark the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution was the first direct response to tighter sanctions imposed by the West in recent weeks to force Tehran to abandon a nuclear program it says has purely peaceful ends.
“Threatening Iran and attacking Iran will harm America … Sanctions will not have any impact on our determination to continue our nuclear course … In response to threats of oil embargo and war, we have our own threats to impose at the right time,” Khamenei told worshippers in a speech broadcast live on state television.
“I have no fear of saying that we will back and help any nation or group that wants to confront and fight against the Zionist regime (Israel).”
U.S. media reports said U.S. Defense Secretary Panetta believed there was a growing possibility Israel would attack Iran as early as April to stop it building a nuclear bomb.
The Washington Post first reported on Thursday that Panetta was concerned about an increased likelihood Israel would launch an attack over the next few months. CNN said it confirmed the report, citing a senior Obama administration official, who declined to be identified.
“Panetta believes there is a strong likelihood that Israel will strike Iran in April, May or June – before Iran enters what Israelis described as a ‘zone of immunity’ to commence building a nuclear bomb,” columnist David Ignatius wrote.
“Very soon, the Israelis fear, the Iranians will have stored enough enriched uranium in deep underground facilities to make a weapon – and only the United States could then stop them militarily,” Ignatius wrote.
Panetta and the Pentagon both declined comment on the Post report.
“PAINFUL AND CRIPPLING”
Khamenei said any U.S. military strike against Iran would backfire and that the “painful and crippling” Western sanctions would only increase the resilience of Iran.
“Americans say all options are on the table even the option of military strike (against Iran)…Any military strike is ten times more harmful for America. Such threats show that they have no sufficient discourse against Iran’s logic and discourse.”
“Such threats show that America has no way but using force and bloodshed to achieve its goals, which further harms America’s rulers, international and domestic credibility,” he added.
Khamenei said the aim of the sanctions was to punish “the Islamic Republic because of Islam.”
“Such sanctions will benefit us. They will make us more self-reliant … We would not achieve military progress if sanctions were not imposed on Iran’s military sector … More imposed pressures mean more self-reliance for Iran.”
“Sanctions are beneficial also because it makes us more determined not to change our nuclear course … Iran will not change its nuclear course because of sanctions…,”he added.
Israel, widely believed to possess the Middle East’s only nuclear arsenal, views Iran’s uranium enrichment projects as a major threat and has not ruled out the use of military force to prevent Tehran from acquiring nuclear weapons.
The Post said the postponement of a joint U.S.-Israeli military exercise that had been scheduled for this spring may have signaled the prospect of an Israeli attack soon.
Iran has said repeatedly it could close the vital Strait of Hormuz Gulf oil export route if sanctions succeed in preventing it exporting crude, a move Washington said it would not tolerate.
Israel’s Military Intelligence Chief Major-General Aviv Kochavi said on Thursday he estimated that Iran could make four atomic bombs by further enriching uranium it had already stockpiled, and could produce its first bomb within a year of deciding to build one.
Citing figures similar to those from the IAEA, the U.N. nuclear agency, Kochavi told Israel’s annual Herzliya Conference on strategic affairs: “Iran has accumulated more than 4 tonnes of uranium enriched to a level of 3.5 percent and nearly 100 kilos at an enrichment level of 20 percent.
“This amount of material is already enough for four atomic bombs.”
Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak said separately that “if sanctions don’t achieve the desired goal of stopping (Iran’s) military nuclear program, there will be a need to consider taking action.”
A top Chinese newspaper stepped up Beijing’s opposition to a Western push for tighter sanctions against Iran, warning on Friday that tensions over Tehran’s nuclear program are hurting energy markets and could stifle the global economic recovery.
GLOBAL ECONOMY
China’s criticism appeared in the People’s Daily, the mouthpiece of the ruling Communist Party. It comes a day after German Chancellor Angela Merkel urged Beijing to use its influence to persuade Iran to give up its nuclear program.
“The global economy is in the midst of a difficult economic recovery and reducing the shocks of uncertainties is the common responsibility of countries all over the world,” the People’s Daily commentary said.
“In the near term, the sudden spike in tensions between the United States and Iran is now posing the greatest uncertainty. This factor is disrupting global energy markets and has cast a shadow over the global economic recovery.”
China, the world’s second-largest crude consumer and the biggest buyer of Iranian oil, has long opposed unilateral sanctions that target Iran’s energy sector and has tried to reduce tensions that could threaten its oil supply.
Escalating tensions between Iran and the West have pushed up Brent crude prices by about 9 percent since mid-December.
On Thursday, at a joint media briefing after what Germany’s Merkel described as “long discussions” about Iran, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao appeared to reject the pressure to do more.
He said Beijing objected to Western nations politicizing the “normal commercial relationship” it has with the Islamic Republic, echoing language that China has used before.
Merkel, who is in China on a three-day visit, said she hoped the U.N. Security Council could pass a unanimous resolution on the Iran issue.
7 Comments on "Iran warns of retaliation over oil sanctions"
BillT on Fri, 3rd Feb 2012 2:58 pm
The West will commit suicide if it attacks Iran, wait and see. Israel could get it’s butt kicked royally this time. After all it (Israel) is supposedly the home of several hundred illegal nukes, not registered anywhere. It is going to be an interesting Summer.
robert collins on Fri, 3rd Feb 2012 3:02 pm
Why don’t the Chinese just tell Merkel that if she wants China to participate in the EU rescue fund (i.e. to throw good money after bad) she should drop the idea of the Iranian oil-embargo. Certainly she has not taken on board the conclusions of the report on peak oil that was prepared by the Budeswehr last year. The authors of that report were frank in admitting that the threat of peak oil would change traditional alliances in the Middle East. To be blunt. Why support Israel’s interests when we need to make friends with oil-producing states such as Iran ?
DC on Fri, 3rd Feb 2012 6:05 pm
Those Iranians are a curious lot. They should let the amerikans sabre rattle and watch the price of oil go though the roof. Yes, demand destruction would hurt Iran, but it would hurt its enemy far more. And when all is said and done, Iran will still have one of the largest oil reserves on the planet that plenty of folks will be interested in buying. Iran should just let the /cough ‘free’ market ramp up the price and the amerikans will start to feel the pain almost imediately. For starters, the would have to run 3 shifts printing more debased US dollars just to keep its bloated fossil-fuel militarys fuel bills paid.
cusano on Sat, 4th Feb 2012 1:06 am
The loser here will be Iran..pure and simple.
BillT on Sat, 4th Feb 2012 2:18 am
Cusano, I disagree with you. YOU will be the loser this time. Iran is not Iraq or Afghanistan. Iran is armed and in a position to cause a lot of hurt to the Western economies and THAT is where they will win. A few of their missiles into the oil ports of Saudi Arabia or Bahrain or Oman. They don’t have to close the Straight, they can just stop shipping from the suppliers. Just the news that we have bombed Iran will crash the Market and oil will jump to $150+
MikeK on Sat, 4th Feb 2012 6:48 am
I think the real drama here has nothing to do with Iran. The US has put it’s economy forward as a WMD. “If you trade with Iran, you can’t trade with us and your economy will fall in tatters” is the message from America. This message is aimed almost exclusively at China, though. The big question: will China cave in?
If they don’t, what is the US going to do? Will Obama declare China exempt? If they do, America becomes the laughing stock of the world! If they don’t? Who’s economy would crumble first, America’s or China’s? Methinks, America’s. This would show the world that, de facto, China is the new superpower, and it would put the destruction of the US economy on a rocket sled.
Interesting times.
BillT on Sat, 4th Feb 2012 3:52 pm
MikeK, the big stick that the empire carries is a wiffle bat and most of the world knows it. Do you realize that China doesn’t really care if the US buys or not, because they know that the US does not make the things it needs to survive and will have to buy from them. Keep in mind that many of those factories that sell to the US are owned by Americans. We even buy missile parts from Asia.
China is setting up trade deals with the part of the world that is close and has things that China needs. Right now, that is the BRICS nations, Australia, New Zealand, the ASEAN countries and Japan. More than 1/2 of the world’s consumers are in that group. Iran, India, and Japan are not going to stop buying Iran’s oil and I doubt that Europe will either. Russia is trading with China in their own currencies, as is India, Iran and other countries. The dollar is being pushed out of their trading circles.
China still holds most of our debt, and we need them to keep buying more. Do you think Obama is that stupid? Maybe. We shall see.