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Page added on September 9, 2010

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Are some governments taking ‘peak oil’ seriously?

Are some governments taking ‘peak oil’ seriously? thumbnail

One of the arguments that some bring up in defense of alternative energy is that of “peak oil.” The idea behind peak oil is that, as a fossil fuel in limited supply, eventually we will reach a point where oil production hits its maximum capability — and then begins to decline. Because there aren’t endless supplies of oil, and because it is a finite resource, the idea is that we will reach a tipping point at which it becomes impossible to continue increasing oil production. Some even contend that we’re already there.

Those who contend that peak oil is a very real problem that we need to concerned about push for the development of alternative energy solutions that are renewable, and not in danger of eventual decline. Opponents of the idea of peak oil insist that we are nowhere near any point of decline, and that there is nothing to worry about. Some even call those bring attention to peak oil “alarmists.”

However, it appears that some governments are starting to seriously consider the merits of peak oil. Publicly, officials in Britain’s Department of Energy and Climate Change downplay worries about Peak Oil. However, an adviser to the department has requested information about peak oil, and the Guardian reports that there was a peak oil workshop in the not-to-distant past that involved the DECC, Ministry of Defense and the Bank of England. Indications are that some officials in Britain really are considering the possible impacts of peak oil — and thinking about contingency plans should peak oil turn out to be disruptive on an economic and military scale.

Britain isn’t the only government interested, either. In Germany, a military study addresses the possible impacts that peak oil could have. A leaked draft of the report by the Bundeswehr Transformation Center was seen by SPIEGEL ONLINE:

It warns of shifts in the global balance of power, of the formation of new relationships based on interdependency, of a decline in importance of the western industrial nations, of the “total collapse of the markets” and of serious political and economic crises.

While the leaked document was confirmed in its existence, German officials insist that it hadn’t been edited, and that it wasn’t meant to published. Even so, the existence of the report indicates that another government is concerned about the implications that peak oil, if we really are approaching such a point, could have on a worldwide scale.

Whether or not you believe that peak oil is a pressing problem, it is interesting to note that some governments are starting to take the issue seriously — and even look for ways to avoid disaster that could come.

PhysOrg.com



3 Comments on "Are some governments taking ‘peak oil’ seriously?"

  1. Wheeldog on Thu, 9th Sep 2010 7:35 am 

    When governments begin to acknowledge peak oil it is a sign that things are much further along than most realize. Government agencies and officials are by nature reluctant to recognize or accept the possibility of anything that potentially threatens economic growth. It is a matter of faith that there will be more tomorrow than there is today, and people can look forward to a higher standard of living. The possibility of peak oil undermines that premise and threatens the credibility of governments. This is equivalent to the captain of the Titanic calling for a staff meeting to address the possibility that the ship is not unsinkable after all.

  2. i on Thu, 9th Sep 2010 9:04 am 

    What governments are starting to realize is that we’ll see the effects of oil depletion long before we actually run out of available oil.

    Oil price feedback is what gets us. As oil gets more expensive, so does everything else, including the price of finding, extracting and distributing refined petroleum products.

    The process feeds on itself, causing prices to rise rapidly until the economy can no longer cope, and it crashes, and recovers again, only to increase oil demand until the next crash.

  3. AskMaxim on Thu, 9th Sep 2010 8:27 pm 

    Well I am listening carefully to both sides but I remember the totally fake swine alert to which governments reacted over rather than under. How about this rule: don’t expect any meaning in governmental actions whatever those may be.

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