Page added on April 21, 2005
The stock market is poised at one of those very scary inflection points.
From here, it could fall another 3% on the Dow Jones Industrial Average or another 8% on the Nasdaq Composite. Or it could rally back to its March highs for a gain of 8% on the Dow or 13% on the Nasdaq.
Which will it be? Lower prices and more gloom? Higher prices and smiles?
News events that we can’t now predict will certainly have a big role in settling the question. But I think I can make a strong case that we’ve got a 3% to 8% decline ahead of us before we can start looking for an end to this punishment and the beginning of the next temporary rally.
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