The Peak Oil Theory

The peak oil theory has a harmful impact because it focuses on the wrong problem and in doing so it shifts attention away from more vital issues

A statement of the type


In short, it is not sufficient to say that an exhaustible resource will be eventually exhausted and that its production will decline until extinction after reaching a peak. These are not predictions. Such statements are of no interest whatsoever unless we are told the dates at which the peak will be reached, and the likely shape of the production curve before and after the peak.

Socrates knows that he is a man and as such a mortal being. What he would like to know is when exactly he will die and in which manner.

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