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Page added on March 5, 2005

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US DOE has received the warning

In February ASPO received interesting information from Dr. Robert L. Hirsch to be published in our newsletter. Dr Hirsch and his colleagues have just completed a study for the U.S. DOE on the mitigation of world oil peaking, Hirsch, R.L., Bezdek, R.H, Wendling, R.M. Peaking of World Oil Production: Impacts, Mitigation and Risk Management. The summery of this paper, as reporter by Dr. Hirsch, is presented below.

ASPO
US DOE has received the warning
In February ASPO received interesting information from Dr. Robert L. Hirsch to be published in our newsletter. Dr Hirsch and his colleagues have just completed a study for the U.S. DOE on the mitigation of world oil peaking, Hirsch, R.L., Bezdek, R.H, Wendling, R.M. Peaking of World Oil Production: Impacts, Mitigation and Risk Management. The summery of this paper, as reporter by Dr. Hirsch, is presented below.

The date for Peak-Oil is discussed without focus on the date itself: “ Optimistic oil production forecasts deserve to be viewed with considerable skepticism”, but the impact of Peak-Oil is descried without doubts: “ World oil peaking represents a problem like none other. The political, economic, and social stakes are enormous. ”

The way US DOE has acted so far it is obvious that we cannot expect action before the Peak-Oil date. According to the study this will have the following impact: “Waiting until world conventional oil production peaks before initiating crash program mitigation leaves the world with a significant liquid fuel deficit for two decades or longer.”

ASPO has now for four years tried to raise awareness of the serious consequences that Peak-Oil has for Mankind. This report can help you understand the problems.

Kjell Aleklett,
president of ASPO



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