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Page added on May 27, 2006

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A Personal Peak Oil Discovery Process, Part I

I became convinced that Heinberg and others were absolutely correct in asserting that no combination of alternatives to oil could come anywhere close to replacing oil at present use levels. That includes coal to liquids, natural gas, oil shale, methane hydrates, hydrogen, ethanol, bio-diesel, and nuclear/wind/solar-based electric (including compressed air) cars comparable in size with today’s subcompacts.

The required adaptation time (2-3 decades) is quite simply not available. This is a scary conclusion for a technocrat like me.

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